Foreword
Yes, from the very first line: this is an alternate version of what could have happened. It was based on the ambitions of the participants and their capabilities, but in general it is nothing more than fun for the mind from the cycle "It could have been so."
By popular demand from readers, so to speak. Those who did not quite understand the essence of the previous article about Hitler and his political mistakes.
1. Could it be so?
Could it be that the Soviet Union and Germany did not come together in the war, but vice versa? Under certain conditions, yes.
Historically, Germany and Russia are not exactly friends, but the Germans supplied us with empresses systematically and regularly. Yes, 1917 stopped this business, but in Germany itself, as it were, all a little of that … democratized.
But even with democratized Germans we managed to be friends. Yes, Hitler dropped the case, but in the end, who is his doctor? In general, of course, a doctor was needed, because dreams of world domination are dreams, and resource bases - resources and people. And without them, well, you can’t build a world-class empire.
Hitler really wanted to conquer the whole world, build his Third Reich for half a planet, and so on. Today you can shrug your shoulders, but: the starting resource was, as it were.
2. Who and where?
In general, if you look right, then Germany and the Third Reich are not the same thing. These are generally two different differences, if only because if you believe the German historian Burckhardt Müller-Hildebrandt ("The German Land Army in 1939-1945", EKSMO publishing house, Moscow, 2002), and we have no reason not to believe him, then on the page 700 of his work is this: "The population of Germany in 1939 was 80, 6 million people" …
Germany. Although this already includes Austria (6, 76 million people), Saar (0.8 million people) and the Sudetenland (3, 64 million people).
And the Reich, the Reich of 1941 - we also add Danzig and Memel (0, 54 million people), Poznan and Upper Silesia (9, 63 million people), Luxembourg, Alsace and Lorraine (2, 2 million people), squeezed out of the Poles. people).
Total - about 92 million people. For an even account - 90 million. And this, I will emphasize boldly, we are talking only about the Germans who could be drafted into the Wehrmacht. And yes, I do not take into account the governors general of Poland and the imperial protectorate of Bohemia and Moravia, where not only were there full of Germans, they were easily called upon throughout the war.
Enough. 90 million people. With minerals, frankly not very good, but an excellent industrial base of Germany, the Czech Republic and Poland (and in the future also France).
And what if the splendid resource base of the USSR and 190 million of the population was abandoned? Can you take the risk and put into practice the idea of world domination?
Can. But there are two ways. The first is the path of conquest, which, in fact, was chosen in Germany. With a corresponding result. The second is the way of agreements. More productive and less costly.
3. How and with whom to negotiate?
Yes, this is the most interesting question. A lot of fans from alternatives make the main mistake: they begin to argue on the topic "And if Stalin had reached an agreement with Hitler."
I would not agree. Firstly, Stalin was well aware that there was his German opponent. And I didn't build any illusions, that's why even if I really wanted to, I couldn't find ANY document on which the signatures of Stalin and Hitler would be.
This speaks volumes. In general, it would be difficult to negotiate with Hitler, because the Third Reich in all its glory was on his agenda, and even with the theory of racial purity. Lenin's pupil, who was clearly Stalin, was unequivocally disgusted by all this. Yes, to build communism in your country, yes, to carry communism to other peoples of the world - it was normal for Stalin. But here is the theory of "racial purity" in the multinational USSR …
No. Impossible.
And here many will say that everything, this can be finished. It was unrealistic to come to an agreement, and that's how it turned out.
It was unrealistic to come to an agreement with Hitler. But what, besides him, there were no more people in Germany with a population of 90 million? Today in 146 million Russia one or two presidential candidates cannot be found, but in Germany there were people of such a flight.
It is no secret that in his entire life there were 16 attempts on Hitler's life. You know, this only says that, firstly, the Fuhrer was lucky in full, and secondly, amateurs worked. If any NORMAL special service of that time had got down to business, the cremation would have taken place much earlier. Whoever does not believe, let him ask Trotsky, Arutyunov / Agabekov, Bandera …
And here the question arises: why not knock down Adolf Aloizovich a little earlier for the sake of Germany? Well, or for the sake of building peace and communism on Earth … Considering that the Fuhrer does not dare to call his tongue a coward, this is also a fact, he really neglected security, so it would not be difficult for professionals to eliminate him.
So what is next? And then, oddly enough, there were people in Germany with whom one could negotiate and make plans for the future.
Of course, Hitler's first assistant and secretary, Hess, would hardly have been suitable for this role. As well as Bormann, who was far from the ideal of a politician. Let's just say, out of the top ten, or rather the top five, Goering would be the best fit.
Although Herman possessed the badge of the party number 23, he was, to put it mildly, far from overshoots in terms of racial purity. And in fact, he was the only one from the party elite who was not fixated on this. Quite an indicative phrase: "In my ministry, I myself decide who my Jew is."
Let's just say, a piece that could play. You can offer several more candidates, but the essence will be the same: a person must be sane, understand what is happening and see a perspective in this.
And to say that Molotov or Malenkov could adequately speak on behalf of the USSR, if Stalin himself did not consider it effective for himself … Although, in general, Molotov had to sign such papers as treaties of friendship, non-aggression and the like.
So there was someone to come to an agreement on both sides. The question is, what's next?
4. What's next?
And then it turns out that we need to sit down at the negotiating table and deal with sentences. First of all, by the verdicts of the world imperialist system, which certainly would not be opposed by any of the parties. Germany, from which they drank all the blood at the end of the First World War, and the Soviet Union, which, as it were, was not a supporter of the capitalist platform.
That is, both countries had someone to be friends against. Against the "winners" who are a little … fat. It is clear that this means Great Britain and the United States, which not only got good at that war, but also had their own views for the future.
So, "Lebensraum" for Germany (and it would be nice to return the seized colonies) and new peoples to the friendly at that time family of the USSR.
If you look at the data on 1941-22-06, you get a very impressive picture. Eastern front.
154 German divisions.
42 divisions of all these German "allies".
186 divisions of the western districts of the USSR.
Remember the "Axis countries": Germany, Japan and Italy? Here it is for sure that the Italians "did not shine." Yes, they had a good one, oh, they had a very decent fleet, but … with Italian crews. The Italians sat in tanks and planes. That is, very below average, which the war showed in all its glory.
And then:
51 Division of the Imperial Japanese Army.
68 Soviet divisions in the Far East.
In general, at that time we had a total of 303 divisions in the Red Army. And in the Wehrmacht - 208. Total 500 and 600 with all these Italians, French, Hungarians, Romanians and Finns. The Japanese are serious. They then increased their army five times just at the snap of the emperor's fingers.
But in the end there were 500 divisions.
And a new alliance: Germany - Soviet Union - Japan.
The rest, Hungary, Romania, Italy, Finland, are dancing.
Moreover, all of Europe is already behind the Germans. The inhabited part of China belongs to the Japanese.
And this is where the fun begins. Because the Second World War is already underway and something needs to be done with all this.
5. We must go … south
Let us immediately note the most important thing - even with so many people, tanks, guns, mortars, nothing can be done with Britain. A landing operation against this country could be carried out only in the wildest dreams.
English Channel, you see …
And the fleets of our union are so-so. I wrote about the Soviet one, there was nothing particularly valuable there, except for 7 light cruisers of "Project 26", 59 destroyers and 200 submarines. So, only boats.
We know about the German fleet. 1 battleship ("Bismarck" by that time was all), 2 nedolinkors ("Scharnhorst" and "Gneisenau"), 5 heavy and 6 light cruisers. 22 destroyers and 57 submarines. Okay, the reserve for the production of submarines was simply amazing, the Germans riveted more than a thousand during the war.
The Italian fleet … 4 battleships, 6 heavy and 14 light cruisers. 130 destroyers. Yes, confidently in numbers, but I repeat, Italian ships.
The British fleet consisted of 15 battleships, 15 heavy and 49 light cruisers, 158 destroyers and 68 submarines. And 6 aircraft carriers.
That is, the British metal would have demolished any landing operation from the sea surface.
I am deliberately silent about the Japanese fleet: although it was magnificent in its essence, but behind it loomed the US fleet, which was no worse in numbers. The Yankees had more for 5 battleships and 100 destroyers, so there was a purely deterrent issue.
Okay, the British will sit out on the islands.
This means that we must go where it is possible to realize such a huge army. South.
Here we have a political map of 1940. American, so let's forgive them Mongolia as part of the USSR. The angle is interesting.
From this perspective, it is clear that Japan's process has begun, Manchukuo is already on the map without problems, and vice versa, Xinjiang and Tibet have not yet reached China. There is no Pakistan, which the British will allocate only after the war, and so on.
What do we see?
We see a chain of British colonies and protectorates. India, Afghanistan, Iran and so on up to Egypt. Each of the colonies supplied the metropolis with something, for it was precisely at the expense of the colonies that the empire lived at all times.
And here's another drawing. Map of railways of the USSR. And from this map it becomes clear and understandable that even in those days it was not very difficult for us to transfer a number of divisions to the south, closer to the borders of Iran and India. Sorry, in 1941 they were transferred from the Far East, and in 1945 back.
Plus in the region is Turkey, which has always been focused on Germany. But as the practice of the First World War showed, the Turks were not very eager to fight, remembering the British capabilities.
But in the presence of the Soviet Union in the region … Yes, with ambitions …
So, we look at the map.
Germany. Since the whole of Europe has been captured, there is really nothing to do there. Alternatively, North Africa, that is, the oil of Arabia and the Suez Canal, control over which is such a useful thing.
But instead of the pitiful "Africa" corps, which was an infantry and armored division with support units, it was quite possible to send to Africa the number of troops that would be required to take control of the north of the African continent.
Let's just say that 10-15 full-fledged divisions with grease from Italian units would quite normally have done what Rommel's two divisions could not. Although Rommel, with so many troops, worked wonders.
And given the fact that the Luftwaffe did not have to arrange a blitzkrieg on the Eastern Front, only seagulls would fly freely in the Mediterranean Sea. And even then with an eye on the German planes.
A very useful action would be to squeeze General Franco, followed by the blockade and capture of Gibraltar. After that, the entrance to the Mediterranean would be under the control of the Germans, and the delivery of troops to Africa would become very simple and calm.
And the capture of French Morocco (the city of Ceuta specifically) would generally close the entrance to the Mediterranean for the British.
Could this have been done with a reserve of 100 divisions? Yes, easily.
Move on.
6. To each - his own
Soviet Union. We clearly began Persian dances, that is, Iran was on the agenda, initially oriented, like Turkey, to Germany.
Considering that the possibility of transferring troops over great distances was and was used, there is not even any doubt that the friendly assistance to Iran against the British colonialists was as successful as the occupation of this country in 1941.
On August 25, 1941, the troops of the 44th Army under the command of Major General A. A. Khadeev and the 47th Army under the command of Major General V. V. Novikov entered the territory of Iranian Azerbaijan. On August 27, troops of the Central Asian Military District crossed the Soviet-Iranian border from the Caspian Sea to Zulfagar. This operation was carried out by the 53rd Separate Central Asian Army, led by the commander of the district, Lieutenant General S. G. Trofimenko. On August 31, in the region of Iranian Astarta, an assault force was landed as part of the 105th mountain rifle regiment and the artillery battalion of the 77th mountain rifle division. Soviet gunboats entered the ports of Pahlavi, Noushehr, Bendershah. In total, over 2,500 paratroopers were transported and landed.
We brought about 30 thousand people into Iran. The British are about the same from Syria. Attention, the question: what could have prevented an increase in the figure from 30 to 50 thousand, so that the British soldiers would not even rock the boat?
Nothing.
Considering that the transfer was really easy to organize not only by land, but also by the Caspian Sea, Iran would very simply and quickly become a springboard for a further attack on Iraq and Syria. In addition, Turkey has always had warm oil feelings for Syria, which, I am sure, in such a situation would simply rush into battle against the British.
The result could be a meeting. But not on the Elbe, but somewhere in the sands of the Arabian Peninsula. Germans and Italians on the one hand, ours on the other.
Farther. Next is a huge enclave, India and Afghanistan. A suitcase without a handle, uncomfortable and heavy. Considering that even the British could not put things in order there, a dubious acquisition, to be honest.
But considering that the population of India simply adored their colonialists, I think that a year of work in the sweat of the brow of the Abwehr specialists and in India there would be not just a "fifth column", it would have flared up in full.
The only question is need. It would be possible to make a protectorate according to the principle of Bohemia. Only bigger and more obtuse.
Japan. Who would not have to strain at all. Moreover, I am sure that the Japanese would not even change their plans. And in the same way they would have captured all the French and Dutch colonies in Indochina and went to conquer Australia.
The British would hardly have been able to defend their colonies. Too many forces would have to be kept facing Europe both in terms of repelling the hypothetical Axis landing operation on the islands, and in the fight against the blockade, which would certainly have been organized by ours and the Germans, fortunately, there were enough forces. An underwater blockade, of course.
So the whole question is how the United States would behave. And in our case, I'm sure they would have continued to remain neutral or, at best, helped the British. Lend-Lease and all that. If the Japanese had done a Pearl Harbor-style splash, yes, perhaps, the Americans would have gone to fight for their bases and colonies. But let's just say, without fanaticism.
It was quite possible to fight at sea with Japan. And I think it would have ended in a draw, since the Japanese would have received a powerful boost from their allies. More precisely, from an ally. And in that case, it is unlikely that the Americans would be able to quickly unscrew the head of the Japanese. If at all they could, because dying for an idea is somehow not accepted in America. Or for others to die.
7. Natural ending
As a result, by 1943 the following picture could have been quite normal: ALL of Eurasia and part of Africa would belong to the countries of the Berlin-Moscow-Tokyo Axis.
The British would, sooner or later, capitulate anyway, because hunger is not an aunt, and it is not so easy to arrange supplies under a severe blockade. And she would have been. And not only marine. It is unlikely that the entire fleet of the metropolis would risk moving far from the native harbors of Scapa Flow, bristling with anti-aircraft guns, knowing that the ships would gladly take into development not only the guys from the Luftwaffe, but also the transferred units of the Red Army Air Force. And here everything is simple: no matter how luxurious the Spitfires are, forgive me, if there are 6-7 Messerschmitts, Yakovlevs and Lavochkin's for one British fighter, what will happen? That's right, beating.
And the United States … And what about the United States? And they would have served overseas, then the Rothschilds and others would have sent envoys, and that's all. A tender fierce friendship would begin. Loans for the development, conquest and arrangement of new lands and so on.
The world would still remain multipolar, not a fact. That everything would be as sad as it might seem at first glance.
Yes, the Japanese would arrange this on their territories … Yes, in fact, they did. But you know, what difference does it make who will organize the genocide: Japanese, French or American? The wars in Indochina after World War II, performed by the French, showed this very clearly.
Was there a difference, say, to a Vietnamese, from the fact that he was hit by a Japanese bullet. Not French?
I think it makes no difference.
The Germans would arrange a united Europe. Like today, but with the difference that in their Europe the first person would be a German, not an Arab, as in our time. Given the difference in worldview of Goering in comparison with Hitler, it is unlikely that crematoria chimneys would smoke throughout Europe.
On the contrary, most likely, it would not have been up to them.
And our country would calmly begin to develop new territories, since there was also something to master there. Of course, building socialism on such an area as the Iranian SSR, the Iraqi SSR, the Syrian Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic, the Xinjiang and Tibetan Autonomous Republics is a difficult and slow business, but most likely they would have mastered it.
The question would remain only in the concessional use of the rest of Africa. And the possible development of South America, however, this is more a question for the Germans, who had very good contacts there.
Yes, it's time to say about what history does not have there …
No, the conclusion will be somewhat different.
All the fun would start later. Even not when it would be necessary to divide the conquered and the gained and redraw the map of the world. And then, when such a luxurious triumvirate would have disintegrated, it does not matter for what reason. What would have disintegrated is beyond doubt, the components are too different. Too different goals and ways to achieve them.
And one more thing: as the whole history of the XX and XXI centuries has shown, we have never been able to choose our allies and friends.
