At HeliRussia-2012, Rosoboronexport is presenting a wide range of Russian-made helicopters in military and military transport versions.
For the opening of the HeliRussia-2012 exhibition, TsAMTO publishes statistical data on the global military helicopter market.
According to TsAMTO, in 2012-2015. helicopter technology will take the second place in the structure of world military exports, second only to military aircraft in the categories of conventional weapons.
Military helicopters (including attack helicopters, anti-submarine and naval patrol helicopters, heavy transport helicopters and multipurpose helicopters) will have the most significant share growth in the total balance of the world arms trade.
For comparison: in 2008-2011. military helicopters in terms of export volume ranked fourth among all categories of conventional weapons (yielding to military aircraft, as well as the categories of "armored vehicles" and "naval equipment") with export sales in the amount of 21, 23 billion dollars. In 2012-2015. the volume of export sales is projected in the amount of at least 51.5 billion dollars. With this indicator, the category "military helicopters" will immediately move from 4th to 2nd place.
The calculation includes deliveries of new helicopters, licensed programs, deliveries from the Armed Forces of exporting countries, repair and modernization. The value of the supply is estimated in current US dollars at the time of the conclusion of the contracts. The calculation was made as of the beginning of April 2012.
Russia in the global military helicopter market
Russia is one of the world leaders in the military helicopter industry. In recent years, the production of Russian helicopters has been increasing annually by 20-30%, and, according to forecasts, by 2015 Russia will occupy at least 15% of the world helicopter market.
Russian Helicopters OJSC (part of OJSC OPK Oboronprom) plans to deliver about 3.6 thousand helicopters in 2011-2020, including 1420 units. - civil and 2180 units. - military (according to the materials of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of the Russian Federation).
The volume of deliveries for 2011 was projected at 267 vehicles, for 2015 - 324 vehicles, for 2020 - 442 vehicles.
It is assumed that the share of Russian Helicopters in the total balance of world supplies will increase from 11% in 2011 to 17% in 2020.
The export component of deliveries of helicopters manufactured by the enterprises of the Russian Helicopters holding, taking into account deliveries under contracts through Rosoboronexport, annually makes about 50% of the total supply with small annual fluctuations.
Of the 2,180 military helicopters that are planned to be delivered in 2011-2020, just over 1,000 helicopters will be delivered under the state defense order of the Russian army. The remaining helicopters (about 1,150 vehicles) are planned to be exported.
Rosoboronexport promotes to various regions of the world military transport helicopters of the Mi-17 type, transport and combat helicopters Mi-35M and Mi-35P, combat helicopters Mi-28N and Ka-52, heavy transport helicopters Mi-26T2, as well as light multifunctional helicopters Ka-226T and other machines. These helicopters are not only not inferior to foreign models, but surpass them in many respects.
According to the Rosoboronexport press service, over the past five years, the supply of military helicopters through Rosoboronexport has quadrupled, increasing from 15 delivered helicopters in 2007 to 99 helicopters in 2011. Moreover, in total in the period from 2001 to 2011. Rosoboronexport has delivered more than 420 helicopters to 33 countries of the world.
At the end of 2011, the figures announced by Rosoboronexport practically coincide with those of TsAMTO (the difference is only a few cars).
The results for 2011 became the most impressive in terms of helicopter export volumes in the modern history of Russia, therefore, the results for 2011 are discussed in more detail below.
In the rating of the 10 most significant events in the segment of the export of military helicopter technology in Russia at the end of 2011, TsAMTO included two contracts and 8 delivery programs (under previously concluded agreements).
As of the current moment, Russia continues to participate in several international tenders for the supply of military helicopter equipment. For a number of them, Russia has a good chance of success. At the same time, it should be noted that Russia's biggest failure in 2011 was the Indian Air Force's loss in a tender for the supply of attack helicopters.
When distributing places in the ranking, not only the volumes of contracts or supply programs were taken into account, but also their significance in terms of the prospects for further development of cooperation with a particular country, a particular region, as well as the "novelty" of a particular market.
The first place in the TSAMTO rating at the end of 2011 is held by Rosoboronexport's contract with the US Army Command for the supply of 21 Mi-17V-5 military transport helicopters to the Afghan army.
Subsequent places in the ranking are occupied by the following programs.
2. Start of implementation of the program with India for the supply of 80 Mi-17V-5 helicopters under the contract signed in December 2008.
3. Completion of the contract with China for the supply of Ka-31 helicopters.
4. Contract with Sri Lanka for the supply of 14 Mi-171 helicopters.
5. Completion of the contract with Peru for the supply of two Mi-35P and six Mi-171Sh helicopters.
6. Completion of deliveries of 22 Mi-171E helicopters of the Iraqi Air Force.
7. Delivery of two Mi-171E helicopters under a contract with Argentina.
8. Program for the delivery of Mi-17V-5 helicopters to Indonesia.
9. Delivery of three Mi-17V-5 helicopters to the Land of Thailand.
10. Start of deliveries of Mi-35M helicopters to Azerbaijan (besides the purchase of Mi-35M, a number of large programs for the supply of helicopter equipment, including the Mi-17-1V, are being carried out with Azerbaijan).
In 2011, Russia implemented more than a dozen more programs with foreign customers in the military helicopter segment, which were not included in the TOP-10 (this applies to both supply programs and the conclusion of new contracts). In particular, these are countries such as Algeria (negotiations), Armenia (supplies), Brazil (contract underway), Venezuela (contract underway), Ghana (negotiations), Kenya (supplies), Mexico (contract), Myanmar (supplies), Poland (supplies), Syria (supplies), Ecuador (supplies) and others.
Below, for a more comprehensive assessment of the world market for military helicopter technology, a summary analysis of four types of helicopters is given. Only deliveries of new helicopters are included in the calculation. The calculation was made as of the beginning of April 2012.
World market for new attack helicopters in 2008-2015
In the coming 4-year period (2012-2015), the volume of export sales of new attack helicopters will amount to 220 units. in the amount of $ 14.4 billion in case of fulfillment of delivery schedules for current contracts, declared intentions and ongoing tenders.
In the previous 4-year period (2008-2011), at least 41 new attack helicopters worth $ 1.35 billion were exported or manufactured under license.
Total in the period 2008-2011. 118 attack helicopters were exported in the amount of 1.63 billion dollars. At the same time, the sales volume of new attack helicopters amounted to 34.7% of the total number and 83.1% of the value of global supplies.
In percentage terms, the increase in the supply of new attack helicopters in 2012-2015. compared to 2008-2011 will amount to 436% in quantitative terms and 967% in value. This is an unprecedented market growth among all categories of conventional weapons.
In 2008-2011. the average demand for modern attack helicopters in the international market was 10 aircraft per year. In the next period, the annual demand will increase to 55 units.
In the ranking below, the supplying countries are ranked by the number of new attack helicopters delivered and planned for delivery (according to the current portfolio of orders) in the period 2008-2015.
First place in the rating of suppliers of new attack helicopters in the period 2008-2015. occupied by the United States (140 cars worth $ 13.08 billion). In 2008-2011. 6 new AH-64 Apache helicopters were exported for the amount of $ 445 million (including weapons and service throughout the entire life cycle). In 2012-2015. an unprecedented increase in supplies is planned - 134 vehicles worth $ 12.636 billion. In general, it can be stated that the United States will remain inaccessible to competitors in this market segment in the medium term.
The second place is occupied by Russia (69 cars worth 1.32 billion dollars). Russian attack helicopters are in stable demand in foreign markets: in 2008-2011. 21 cars were exported for the amount of 400 million dollars. For the period 2012-2015 the backlog of orders may amount to 48 new helicopters for the amount of 920 million dollars (in addition to contracts, the calculation takes into account the declared intentions for direct delivery).
The third place with the start of production in 2012 in Turkey of the A-129 "Mangusta" helicopters is taken by Italy (38 machines worth 877 million dollars). The calculation was made based on the total declared cost of the licensed program.
The fourth place with the first and so far the only export contract with Australia for the multipurpose attack helicopter AS-665 "Tiger" is occupied by France (10 aircraft worth 448 million dollars in the first four-year period). These deliveries are attributed to France as the prime contractor for the program.
Fifth place with the first delivery in 2010 of the attack version of the Z-9WA helicopter to Kenya is China (4 aircraft worth $ 60 million).
According to the TsAMTO methodology, the “new” category includes deliveries of new attack helicopters, licensed programs, as well as deliveries of helicopters from the Armed Forces of exporting countries, upgraded to the level of practically new machines with an extended service life, the price of which at the time of delivery is more than 50% of the cost of a new helicopter of the same type for the same period of time, but not less than $ 10 million.
World market of new anti-submarine and marine patrol helicopters in 2008-2015
In the coming 4-year period (2012-2015), the volume of export sales of new anti-submarine and marine patrol helicopters will amount to 139 units. in the amount of 6, 78 billion dollars in case of fulfillment of delivery schedules for current contracts, declared intentions and ongoing tenders.
In the previous 4-year period (2008-2011), at least 117 new PLO helicopters worth $ 3.87 billion were exported or manufactured under license.
Total in the period 2008-2011. 124 helicopters were exported in the amount of 3.88 billion dollars. At the same time, the sales volume of new PLO helicopters amounted to 94, 35% of the total number and 99, 8% of the cost of global supplies.
In percentage terms, the growth in deliveries of new helicopters in this segment in 2012-2015 compared to 2008-2011 will amount to 18.8% in quantitative terms and 75.2% in value.
In 2008-2011. the average demand for modern anti-submarine and maritime patrol helicopters in the world market was 30 aircraft per year. In the next 4-year period, the annual demand will increase to 35 units.
In the ranking below, the supplying countries are ranked by the number of new PLO helicopters delivered and planned for delivery (according to the current portfolio of orders) in the period 2008-2015.
First place in the rating of suppliers of new anti-submarine and marine patrol helicopters in the period 2008-2015. occupied by the United States (155 cars worth 6, 7 billion dollars). American PLO helicopters are in stable demand in foreign markets: in 2008-2011. 65 cars were exported for the amount of 2.14 billion dollars, the order book for the period 2012-2015. is 90 new helicopters worth 4.589 billion dollars. Given the ongoing international tenders, the United States is likely to further strengthen its position in this market segment.
The second place is taken by Germany with the latest development of the European defense industry - the naval version of the NH-90 helicopter (38 machines worth $ 1.424 billion). In 2008-2011.19 cars were exported for the amount of 755, 4 million dollars, the order book for the period 2012-2015. is 19 new helicopters worth 668, 2 million dollars. These deliveries have been charged to Germany as the prime contractor for the program.
The third place with the Ka-28 and Ka-31 helicopters is taken by Russia (29 aircraft worth $ 791 million). In 2008-2011. 23 machines were exported for the amount of 659 million dollars, in the second period the order book at the moment is 6 new helicopters for the amount of 132 million dollars.
The fourth place with the only contract for the supply of a naval version of the Z-9EC helicopter to Pakistan is taken by China (6 machines worth about $ 60 million in the first 4-year period).
The fifth place with the Super Links-300 PLO helicopter for Algeria is taken by Great Britain (4 aircraft worth 280 million dollars). The delivery was completed in 2010.
In the category "tender" in 2014-2015 it is planned to purchase 24 anti-submarine helicopters for the amount of $ 1.39 billion, which could significantly adjust the position of suppliers in the current rating.
According to the TsAMTO methodology, the “new” category includes deliveries of new PLO helicopters, licensed programs, as well as deliveries of helicopters from the Armed Forces of exporting countries, upgraded to the level of practically new machines with extended service life, the price of which at the time of delivery is more than 50% of the cost a new helicopter of the same type for the same period of time, but not less than $ 10 million.
World market for new heavy transport helicopters in 2008-2015
In the coming 4-year period (2012-2015), sales of new heavy military transport helicopters will amount to 76 units. in the amount of 5, 62 billion dollars in case of fulfillment of delivery schedules for current contracts, declared intentions and ongoing tenders.
In the previous 4-year period (2008-2011), at least 13 new heavy military transport helicopters worth $ 642 million were exported or manufactured under license.
Total in the period 2008-2011. 14 heavy helicopters were exported in the amount of 650 million dollars. At the same time, the sales volume of new helicopters amounted to 92.8% of the total number and 98.8% of the cost of global supplies.
In percentage terms, the growth in deliveries of new helicopters in this segment in 2012-2015 compared to 2008-2011 will amount to 484.6% in quantitative terms and 775.7% in value.
In 2008-2011. the average demand for modern heavy military transport helicopters in the world market was 3 aircraft per year. In the next 4-year period, the annual demand will increase to 19 units. This is an unprecedented increase in supplies in this market segment. In the ranking below, the supplying countries are ranked by the number of new heavy transport helicopters delivered and planned for delivery (according to the current portfolio of orders) in the period 2008-2015.
The first place in the rating of suppliers of new heavy transport helicopters with various versions of the CH-47 Chinook in the period 2008-2015. occupied by the United States (71 cars worth 5, 604 billion dollars). In 2008-2011. 11 cars were exported for the amount of 602 million dollars, the volume of deliveries in the period 2012-2015. may amount to up to 60 new cars worth $ 5 billion.
The second place is taken by Russia with the Mi-26 helicopter (3 aircraft worth 60 million dollars). In 2008-2011. 2 cars were exported for the amount of 40 million dollars, for the period 2012-2015. while there is an order for one helicopter from a Chinese civilian company (in a fire-fighting version). It should be noted that Russia is implementing a number of programs with foreign customers for the repair and modernization of the Mi-26, which are not included in this calculation.
Currently, only one tender is being held for the purchase of 15 aircraft of this class (Indian Air Force), the results of which have not yet been summed up.
According to the TsAMTO methodology, the “new” category includes deliveries of new heavy transport helicopters, licensed programs, as well as deliveries of machines from the Armed Forces of exporting countries, modernized to the level of practically new machines with an extended service life, the price of which at the time of delivery is more than 50% of the cost of a new helicopter of the same type for the same period of time, but not less than $ 10 million.
World market for new multi-purpose helicopters in 2008-2015
In the coming 4-year period (2012-2015), sales of new multipurpose helicopters will amount to 1,158 aircraft worth $ 24.72 billion if the delivery schedules for current contracts, declared intentions and ongoing tenders are met.
In the previous 4-year period (2008-2011), at least 1,007 new multipurpose helicopters worth $ 15.43 billion were exported or manufactured under license.
Total in the period 2008-2011. 1225 cars were exported in the amount of 15, 96 billion dollars. At the same time, the sales volume of new multipurpose helicopters amounted to 82.2% of the total number and 96.7% of the cost of global supplies.
In percentage terms, the growth in deliveries of new multipurpose helicopters in 2012-2015. compared to 2008-2011 will amount to 15% in quantitative terms and 71, 26% in value.
In 2008-2011. the average demand for modern multipurpose helicopters in the world market was 252 aircraft per year. In the next 4-year period, the annual demand will increase to 290 units.
Below, the supplying countries are ranked in the ranking by the number of delivered or planned for delivery of machines in the period 2008-2015. (it should be noted that the location of the countries in the ranking by the value of delivered and ordered machines will be different).
First place in the rating of suppliers of multipurpose helicopters in terms of the number of delivered and ordered machines for the period 2008-2015. is occupied by France (696 cars worth 7, 974 billion dollars). In terms of value, France ranks second.
The growth in demand for helicopters of the European consortium "Eurocopter" is obvious: in 2008-2011. 331 new helicopters worth $ 3.25 billion were exported, in 2012-2015. the projected sales volume is 365 cars in the amount of 4.719 billion dollars.
Given the recent growth trends in the market, French manufacturers in the second 4-year period may significantly increase their performance following the completion of ongoing international tenders. However, it should be noted that France is the leader in the class of light helicopters, in contrast to Russia and the United States, which mainly supply medium-duty helicopters in this segment.
The second place in terms of quantity is occupied by Russia (492 vehicles worth 6, 155 billion dollars). In terms of value, Russia ranks 4th.
In 2008-2011. 278 cars were exported for the amount of 2, 792 billion dollars, for the period 2012-2015. the order book so far is 214 new helicopters for the amount of 3, 362 billion dollars. This figure for Russia is far from final and by the end of 2012 it may increase.
The third place in the ranking in terms of quantitative parameters is occupied by the United States (355 cars worth $ 10.2 billion). In terms of value, the United States ranks first.
In 2008-2011. 158 cars were exported for the amount of 3, 217 billion dollars, the order book for the period 2012-2015. is 197 new helicopters worth 6, 983 billion dollars.
Italy ranks fourth in terms of the number of delivered and ordered vehicles (191 vehicles worth $ 4.254 billion). In terms of value, Italy ranks 5th.
In 2008-2011. 153 cars were exported for the amount of 2.919 billion dollars, for the period 2012-2015. the current backlog of orders is 38 new helicopters so far.
The fifth place in terms of quantitative parameters with the latest joint European development - the NH-90 helicopter - is occupied by Germany (145 aircraft worth $ 7.67 billion). Helicopters of this type are attributed to Germany as the main contractor for the program. In terms of value, Germany ranks third.
In 2008-2011. 71 new helicopters were exported for the amount of 3, 131 billion dollars, for the period 2012-2015. the backlog of orders is 74 cars in the amount of 4.535 billion dollars.
The sixth place with Z-9 helicopters (a version of the SA-365 Dauphin helicopter produced under a French license) is taken by China (47 aircraft worth 503.8 million dollars). In 2008-2011. 4 cars were exported for the amount of 30 million dollars, for the period 2012-2015. the order book is 43 new helicopters for the amount of 473.8 million dollars.
The seventh place with the delivery of helicopters SA-315В "Lama" and light multipurpose helicopters "Dhruv", manufactured under a French license, is taken by India (10 aircraft worth 76.5 million dollars).
Eighth place with the W-3 "Sokol" helicopter (version of the Russian Mi-2 helicopter) is taken by Poland (10 aircraft worth 859.8 million dollars). In the first 4-year period, 2 helicopters were supplied for export in the amount of 14 million dollars, in the second period, the projected volume of deliveries is 8 units. in the amount of 59.8 million dollars.
In the category "tender" in 2014-2015 it is planned to purchase 219 multipurpose military transport helicopters worth $ 3.252 billion, which may make adjustments to the distribution of exporting countries in the current ranking.
According to the TsAMTO methodology, the “new” category includes deliveries of new multipurpose helicopters at a cost, licensed programs, as well as deliveries of helicopters from the Armed Forces of exporting countries, upgraded to the level of practically new machines with an extended service life, the price of which at the time of delivery is more than 50% of the cost of a new helicopter of the same type for the same period of time, but not less than $ 3 million.
