The leap year 2016, from the very first days of January, confirmed the title of the most difficult period in the existence of our "fragile" and imperfect world, which in just a few years of the 21st century has changed beyond recognition by the forces of Western hegemony and its many accomplices.
This was most vividly reflected in the region, which has a 1400-year-old internal problem, where the centuries-old and bloody religious dispute between representatives of the two leading interpretations of Islam, Sunni and Shiite interpretations, became an excellent ideological tool for total manipulation and control by Western Europe and the United States, which for years "pumped "the states of the Middle East and Western Asia with the most powerful lethal weapons, which sooner or later had to be used.
The general background of tension in the region was organized due to the emergence of the terrorist group Daesh (IS), fueled by financial and technical receipts from the United States, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates with the support of dwarf allies: Bahrain, Kuwait and Sudan. Then an aggravation followed. Regional superpowers - Turkey and Saudi Arabia - began to dictate their own rules. The first dealt a sneaky "stab in the back" to our Aerospace Forces, which "crossed the road" to the very profitable oil business of the Erdogan family with ISIS terrorists; the second took a more cunning path. Continuing reasonable military-technical cooperation with Russian defense companies, Saudi Arabia at an accelerated pace formed the so-called "Arabian coalition" from the states of the Arabian Peninsula, which, under the pretext of fighting the Yemeni people's liberation organization "Ansar Allah" (represented by Iran-friendly Shiites-Zeidites), became into the most powerful West Asian military-political bloc aimed at open confrontation with the largest Russian ally in Western Asia - the Islamic Republic of Iran, which we are witnessing today.
But the explosive escalation of tensions between Shiite Iran and the Sunni Arabian Peninsula required an even stronger "spark" than the aggression of the "Arab coalition" against the Shiite "Ansar Allah" (the so-called Houthis or Houthi) in Yemen. And such a "spark" was kindled by the Arabian Ministry of Internal Affairs on January 2, 2016. Representatives of the Arabian security forces reported the execution of 47 people who, from the Arabian point of view, were suspected of subversive and terrorist activities in the kingdom. Nevertheless, there was not a single intelligible argument in support of these accusations, and among this solid list of people, such well-known Shiite figures as Nimr al-Nimr and Faris al-Zahrani were executed, which indicated a pronounced religious and geopolitical background of Er- Riyadh.
A completely adequate reaction of the Iranian people and leadership followed immediately. The Saudi Arabian Embassy in Tehran was completely destroyed by Iranian Shiite demonstrators on January 3, and representatives of the leadership and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran spoke in favor of the complete overthrow of the anti-Islamic regime of the Saudis, and also noted the need to punish the current Arabian regime for reprisals against Shiite representatives. Saudi Arabia responded with a complete break in diplomatic relations, accompanied by a strike by the Saudi Air Force on the Iranian embassy in Yemen. Then other participants and accomplices of the "Arabian coalition" gradually recalled their ambassadors from Iran: Kuwait, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates; also, diplomatic relations were severed by Bahrain, Somalia, Sudan and the Comoros, who joined the "Arabian coalition" in order to receive "dividends" from supporting the military operation against the Houthis in Yemen.
The predictability of such a "herd reaction" among the dwarf henchman countries of Saudi Arabia in Western Asia is explained not only by the predominant Sunni population, but by the most serious geopolitical tie with American imperial plans in the region. For example, Sunni Egypt refrained from any attacks towards Iran in response to the statements of the Iranian leaders, and we know that Cairo is one of the main strategic partners of the "Arabian coalition", including in the issue of confrontation with the Yemeni "Ansar Allah" … In addition, according to statements by the press secretary of the Egyptian Foreign Ministry, Ahmed Abu Zeid, the Middle Eastern state did not even consider the possibility of breaking off diplomatic relations with Iran. This is not surprising, because after the emergence of General al-Sisi at the helm of the state, Egypt radically changed its geopolitical vector. The sphere of military-technical cooperation returned to the usual times of the second half of the twentieth century, when practically all types of modern weapons for the Egyptian Armed Forces were purchased from the USSR, and the support of the Egyptian Air Force from the Soviet reconnaissance MiG-25 had practically no borders.
We can see the same thing today: the entire modern air defense / missile defense system of Egypt is based on the S-300VM Antey-2500 air defense system, and the country's Ministry of Defense, in addition to purchasing French Rafale, may soon become the first foreign customer of a series of 4 ++ generation MiG multipurpose fighters -35, the appearance of which will dramatically change the balance of power in the Middle East for a decade to come. Of particular importance in Egyptian-Russian cooperation is the close interaction of foreign intelligence services of states concerning anti-terrorist activities and the provision of military-tactical information on the situation in the Middle East. Such a high level of information exchange has not been established by Russia with any state in the region, except for Iraq. This fact also confirms the fact that almost all states of the "Arabian coalition" (led by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, with Turkish support) are direct sponsors of terrorism, which is actually opposed only by Russia, Syria, Egypt and Iraq.
This round of the Cold War between Iran and the "Arabian coalition", which at any moment may develop into a major regional conflict, fits perfectly into the American anti-Iranian strategy in Western Asia, where Washington continues to strive for the military overthrow of the Iranian leadership, since Washington understands that the signing The "nuclear deal" absolutely does not change the situation. The entire scientific and technical infrastructure and element base for Iran's nuclear program has been completely preserved and temporarily frozen, the restoration of the previous rates of uranium enrichment can be implemented in a matter of months. Without the development of a nuclear program, with the help of even conventional tactical weapons and medium-range ballistic missiles of the Sajil-2 type with powerful HE warheads, Iran is capable of inflicting a “decapitating” missile strike on any flagship of the “pro-Western club” of Western Asia and the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, Israel). And the strengthening of Iran's air defense by the Russian "Favorite" air defense systems will allow the MRAU to be sustained by the "Arabian coalition" military forces in the region of the strategically important Persian Gulf.
So we are witnessing the active provocation of Iran by the Saudis to confrontation precisely at the moment when the Iranian Air Force had not yet received 4 modernized Russian S-300PMU-2 Favorit air defense systems. Indeed, without these air defense systems of Iran, 450 modern Western European and American tactical fighters, which are in service with the Air Forces of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and others, will not hold out for a long time under missile and bomb attacks. This conflict is beneficial not only with the American, but also with the Saudi "bell tower", since any military confrontation in the oil-bearing Persian Gulf automatically significantly increases the cost of a barrel of oil, which will dramatically increase the revenues of Saudi Arabia as the second country in the world in terms of oil reserves (268 billion barrels).
The deterioration of the geopolitical situation in Western Asia is taking place against the background of the results of the meeting of the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of the Gulf (GCC), which became known on the morning of January 10. Its participants fully supported Saudi Arabia, accusing Iran of "interference" in the affairs of the states of the Arabian Peninsula, and Riyadh generally threatened Iran with "additional measures." Such courage of the "Arabian coalition" can be explained by the geography of the port infrastructure of Saudi Arabia and Iran.
If you look at the map, you can clearly see that all the oil-loading ports of Iran and the refining capacities attached to them are located on the coast of the Persian Gulf, where they can be quickly damaged or destroyed even with the help of tactical short-range missiles at the disposal of Saudi Arabia, or rocket artillery extending into the territory of Kuwait. The large oil refining and oil loading Iranian port city of Abadan is located only 45 km from the Kuwait island of Bubiyan, which is part of the enemy "Arabian camp".
For the Saudis, in this regard, everything is more favorable. In addition to the oil loading and processing port infrastructure on the eastern coast of the country, Saudi Arabia also has a "strategic asset" in the form of the port city of Yanbu-el-Bahr. The city is located on the western coast of Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea (1250 km from Iran). Many thousand-kilometer oil pipelines from fields located near the coast of the Persian Gulf have been laid to the oil refineries of the city. In the event of a major military confrontation with Iran, the port of Yanbu al-Bahr can be covered by dozens of Patriot PAC-3 anti-aircraft missile battalions, as well as the latest THAAD top-line missile defense systems, including Aegis ships of the 6th Fleet US Navy in the Red Sea. Such a defense could well contain the blow of the existing Iranian ballistic missiles.
Today the Iranian Air Force does not have tactical aviation capable of conducting an equal battle with the aviation and air defense of the "Arabian coalition". The Iranian Air Force in its current composition is significantly inferior even to the UAE Air Force, which has more than 70 F-16E / F Block 60 multipurpose fighters and more than 60 highly maneuverable Mirage 2000-9D / EAD aircraft. The modernized Falcons are equipped with an AN / APG-80 multichannel airborne radar with AFAR with a detection range of a 3m2 fighter of about 160 km, so even 1 F-16E Block 60 in the DVB surpasses all existing versions of Iranian fighters (F-4E, MiG-29A).
The UAE's Mirage 2000-9 multipurpose fighter belongs to the 4+ generation tactical aviation. The vehicle is distinguished by an increased angular rate of turn in the pitch plane (the main indicator of the maneuverability of a fighter), which exceeds that of the F-16 family of vehicles. "Mirage 2000-9" is designed to perform a full range of air operations (from gaining air superiority to suppressing air defense and pinpoint strikes against ground targets)
Correcting the position of the Iranian Air Force in front of the "Arabian coalition" can only be a contract for the purchase of a large number (4-5 IAP) of multipurpose Su-30MK or J-10A fighters with further modernization, information about which has repeatedly "left behind the scenes" of the Iranian media …
CANCELING THE EMBARGO FOR SUPPLIES OF S-300PMU-2 IRI AND THE DEPLOYMENT OF THE “FOUR HUNDRED” AT THE TURKISH BORDERS HAVE STRONGLY LIMITED THE WESTERN STRATEGY IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND FRONT ASIA. ANKARA'S ROCKET PROGRAM LOST STRATEGIC WEIGHT
The American concept of conquering military and political dominance in Western Asia and the Middle East due to the displacement from the geopolitical map of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the forces of the most powerful armies of the "Arabian coalition", Israel and Turkey is based not only on the powerful and technologically advanced aircraft fleet of the air forces of these states, but also on short- and medium-range ground-based missile systems, which are being developed by Turkey and owned by the Saudi Arabian army.
It is well known about the existence of the Royal Saudi Strategic Missile Forces, which can be armed with about 50-100 Chinese medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs) DF-3 ("Dongfeng-3"), supplied to the kingdom in export modification with a powerful HE warhead weighing 2, 15 tons. The missiles were sold to the Saudis in the late 1980s, and almost nothing is known about their exact number and the state of the avionics. We only know that the signing of the contract and control of the delivery of products from the Middle Kingdom to Western Asia were carried out under the close control of the American special services.
All arsenals are located in the interior of the kingdom (in the southwestern and central parts of the Arabian Peninsula). TPK missiles are stored in well-protected underground storage facilities, invulnerable to the well-known non-nuclear warheads of Iranian ballistic missiles, and therefore the KSSRS will be able to use all the existing missile potential against the industrial and transport infrastructure of Iran. And today the Iranian Air Force does not have a decent response to this threat.
But after the start of operation of the upgraded version of the S-300PMU-2 "Favorite", such an answer will undoubtedly appear. The complex is capable of hitting ballistic targets at speeds up to 10,000 km / h at altitudes over 30,000 meters. If we take into account the possible use of the Saudi "Dongfeng" against Iran, then just over the Persian Gulf, the missiles will go to the descending segment of the trajectory, which means they will fall into the high-altitude lines of action of the Iranian S-300PMU-2, and even a couple of divisions of the complex will be able to destroy the approaching DF-3 long before entering the battlefield.
An even more interesting situation is emerging with the ambitious missile program of the Turkish Research Institute TUBITAK. In a short period of time, the Institute managed to develop and build several prototypes of operational-tactical ballistic missiles and MRBMs, which were supposed to satisfy the ambitions of the Turkish Defense Ministry in the possibility of delivering an operational strike against enemy targets within 300 - 1500 km from the Turkish border. OTBR "Yildirim 1/2" have already passed flight tests over Turkey, and have successfully tested a more advanced MRBM (range 1500 km). But Turkey itself "dug a hole" in its own missile program. Having committed the barbaric destruction of the Russian Su-24M, Turkey forced the Russian Armed Forces to give an asymmetrical response, which completely eliminated all future possibilities of using Turkish ballistic missiles.
The fact is that the main strategic directions for the use of Turkish missile weapons relate to the eastern and southeastern air directions, where Armenia, Syria, Iran (the main opponents of the West in the region) are located. And on all sections of the Turkish border (also in the Armenian direction), the S-400 "Triumph" positional areas are deployed, which create an insurmountable aerospace "shield" for Turkish ballistic missiles. Even IRBMs with a relatively large radius of action will not be able to "jump" the high-altitude boundaries of the defeat of the "Triumph", and therefore this program can be considered hopeless for a very long period of time.
From now on, the glorious family of the "three hundred" began to take part in the most dangerous and significant episodes of the "big game" for our allies, where delay and "diplomatic decision" will increasingly fade into the background.
